As in any research, the theoretical basis based on previous conclusions, must be a premise for further research on the issue, in our case, that of climate change. It needs as many economic analyzes and applications as possible to certify or reject its validity. Therefore, this paper includes, in addition to the indispensable theoretical part, some analyzes applied to the field of climate change prevention, whose results can be integrated later in research that will establish among its objectives the in-depth analysis of coordinates belonging to this field.
In this context, the research of the influence of climate change and their economic impact can only support the successful implementation of climate change mitigation and adaptation measures provided in the CRESC and PNASC Strategy 2016-2020, as well as, possibly, their completion and improvement. This becomes all the more stringent as the threats of climate change have become more and more present in Romania, mainly through the increase of dry periods, temperatures and the accentuation, at more and more frequent intervals, of extreme meteorological events. Also, the application of measures to prevent climate change at the regional level has become urgent due to severe droughts and violent storms in Romania, which has led to a drastic decrease in water resources (to 30% of a normal year) or in floods, often catastrophic, with loss of life and material damage (Acad. Romana, 2015).
We must also emphasize that the constant concern of some researchers from INCE for improving the connections between the most developed and least developed areas of Romania and facilitating the propagation of the beneficial effects of sustainable development on the whole territory, was an additional impetus for research. in front. This, given that the negative effects of climate change have a significant potential to widen the regional gap.
Given this particular research context, we consider that this paper is important because, on the one hand, it is, to our knowledge, the first study that analyzes, in the European context, the consistency of the two emblematic documents for Romania's alignment with EU for 2030, on the horizon of 2050: National strategy on climate change and economic growth based on low carbon emissions - CRESC and the National Action Plan 2016-2020 on climate change - PNASC2 and, on the other hand, tries based on analyzes to argue a set of proposals and recommendations that can be taken into account, including, on the occasion of the first revision of the content of the CRESC Strategy and / or PNASC, programmatic documents that are in the stage of external approval.
After a decade and a half of the 21st century, we can note that analysts who identified as a global trend the potentiation of major crises, unfortunately, correctly anticipated. According to recent synthetic analyzes, on the "short list" of the most alarming scenarios regarding the dangers that humanity is very likely to face until the middle of our century is, along with cyber or even nuclear war, the imminent confrontation with the disastrous effects of climate change.
However, the present paper does not aim to maintain the fear generated by the effects of climate change, which was fueled by catastrophic conclusions, resulting from predictive analyzes performed based on the scenario method. On the contrary, our position of principle is that climate threats, especially those to the regions of Romania, can be an opportunity to hold accountable all institutions involved in identifying, correlating and interpreting global trends, as they result from the estimated impact. in various scenarios. In this sense, the institutions, as well as all the factors interested in preventing the effects of climate change, will have to permanently strengthen their capacity to cope better with the situation, by urgently applying all necessary measures.
Given that climate change is accelerating in recent years, it could force around 200 million people to leave their homes by 2050. Also, the thermal expansion of the water and the melting of the ice cap and glaciers could lead to catastrophic floods, which will destroy coastal cities. Along with these, climate change will reduce crops, which will starve more than 20 million people in Asia, Africa and South America. At the same time, rising temperatures, rainfall and humidity globally will facilitate the spread of insects carrying contagious diseases, which will lead to the onset of real pandemics.
From this picture, extremely brief, we can still conclude that the pressure of climate change will be even greater on poorly developed countries, as is the case of Romania. Thus, against the background of the demographic trend, migration, poverty rate and corruption in our country, climate change is part of the risks and threats to national security, which requires their approach in a combined, inter and multidisciplinary. Therefore, the studies in this thematic area go beyond the simple level of problematization in order to fit into research directions in which the component of climate change is no longer analyzed separately, but in relation to the entire Romanian economic and social environment.
The importance and relevance of all these aspects increases considerably if we consider that climate change can lead not only to the irreversible deterioration of ecosystems and living conditions - thus sending humanity back in time - but also to the escalation of geopolitical conflicts. With such a potential risk to human peace, solidarity and cohesion across the planet, climate change requires an approach as documented as it is rigorous. It must contain a clear vision; to appeal to relevant concepts, to be based on coherent principles and to benefit from the contribution of instruments corresponding to the magnitude of climate change threats (...).
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